Happy New Year everybody! It has been awhile since I have written anything so my New Year’s Resolution is to get back in to writing and try to do it every day. So I’m going to jump right in on the first day of the decade and give you some winners. Outside of the playoffs, these are the games everyone looks forward to watching. You might as well have some money on it to make it even more interesting.
CITRUS BOWL- Michigan vs. Alabama (-7.5) O/U 58.5
This game is all about if the players for Alabama actually show up. Excluding transfers, none of the players on this roster have played in a bowl game outside of the playoff. We’ve seen in years past, teams that just miss out on the playoff don’t show up ready to play. We’ll see what Nick Saban is able to do to get his guys going. One thing that may motivate his guys is what Saban had to say during his last radio show of the year. He indicated that only one player had received a top-15 draft grade. How Jerry Judy isn’t a top choice even in a loaded receiver class really astounds me. Judy. It would have been nearly impossible to repeat his 2018 season where he had over 1,300 yards receiving while averaging 19.3 yards per catch. I expect him to have a huge game to showcase his big play ability and re-claim the spot of top receiver in this class.
Michigan limps in to bowl season after getting destroyed once again by their rival Ohio State. However, they did manage to average 36 points per game over their last 7 games. I expect this team to be able to score against an Alabama defense that wasn’t itself this year
My Pick – Michigan/Alabama Over 58.5
OUTBACK BOWL- Minnesota vs. Auburn (-7.5) O/U 53.5
I will admit I have a little bit of bias in this game. I have been down on this Auburn team, especially Bo Nix, all year long. I thought the win over Oregon created too much hype around the freshman and he has looked very much like a freshman for most of the year. I expect Minnesota to be able to create a few turnovers and possibly win this outright. More than a touchdown is just way too many points.
My pick – Minnesota +7.5, Minnesota/Auburn Over 53.5
ROSE BOWL- Oregon vs. Wisconsin (-2.5) O/U 51.5
The big question in this game is what will Jonathan Taylor be able to do against this tough Oregon defense. They have held opposing running backs under 150 yards rushing in each of the last 7 games. Taylor was held just under that at 148 against Ohio State but had a three game stretch in November with 250, 204, and 222 yards. This will truly be a game won in the trenches.
This is also the last chance for Justin Herbert to show draft experts that he is still the guy that was thought of as the top quarterback prospect just one year ago. I think this Oregon offense might struggle early but with some adjustments will be able to move the ball on this Wisconsin defense. Expect a back and forth game but ultimately, Wisconsin is able to win time of possession and pull away late.
My Pick – Wisconsin -2.5
SUGAR BOWL- Georgia (-5.5) vs. Baylor O/U 57.5
To close out the night, Georgia will once again face the Big XII runner up as they take on the Baylor Bears. Georgia looked like a team that didn’t want to be playing in the Sugar Bowl last year after being left out of the college football playoff. The Bulldogs were able to put up two late touchdowns to make the score look more respectable than what it actually was. I don’t see that happening again. Georgia is bigger, faster, and stronger than a Baylor team that seemed to sneak through the season to get to their 11-2 record. The Bears only losses came to Oklahoma but also escaped close games against Iowa State, Texas Tech, West Virginia, and TCU. Once again, the Big XII defenses will be exposed this bowl season and Georgia will win by a couple touchdowns. Even with the growing number of players Georgia will be without, moving the ball should not be a problem.
Lock of the Day – Georgia -5.5