Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros, 2:07 first pitch
Houston leads 1-0
Pitching Probable’s: Giolito (CH) vs. Valdez, F (HOU)
The Houston Astros cruised to an ALDS Game 1 win behind Lance McCullers and a hefty offensive output from their big names. A homerun from Yordan Alvarez and two RBI from Michael Brantley in the early portions of the contest was all that was needed for the ‘Stros. The Chicago White Sox will look to even the series tonight prior to taking things back to the Southside for game 3. As always feel free to comment on social and let @SportsShiftMedia know your thoughts.
On the Bump
The Sox are sending the big righty Lucas Giolito to the mound with the hopes he limits the damage early and allow the bats to get going. Giolito compiled a respectable 3.53 ERA over 31 starts, striking out a wonderful 201 over only 178.2 IP with a top-notch 1.10 WHIP. The young hurler does have one October start to his name, going seven innings with eight punchies in a win.
The Astros hope their own young righty, Frambler Valdez, can built on an already impression Postseason career that has seen four starts with a superb 1.88 ERA and even 1.00 WHIP. Valdez finished the 2021 campaign with just under 1K/per 9 IP, a 3.14 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. This is a big spot for Valdez as it could set up an elimination Game 3 on the road and chance for a swept and rest prior to the ALCS.
FanDuel: Astros -116, White Sox -102
None of the pregame picks are appetizing here. At basically a pick-um and neither side throwing a true ace, the outright is not worth a buck. The game script for us is the same as before. Hammer a Houston cover with an early lead or sprinkle a White Sox outright if their bullpen comes on with the lead.
Stay away from the pregame odds all together. The outright and cover are iffy simply because this is truly going to be anyone’s guess who wins. The over/under is eight, which feels like a large number. No game has surpassed this total and only one game has gone over seven. Play the live odds for covers and outrights if someone jumps to a lead if anything.
Both starters over/under for strikeouts is 5.5. Giolito, we don’t love as he has shown flashes of + stuff enough times that frankly either end could hit. On the other side Valdez is striking out well under a batter an inning this season and in his career. It must also be noted with these strikeout over/under totals that starters are rarely seeing the other side of the fifth and never seeing the seventh and beyond.
Hammer the Valdez’ under here. This is one of the only must have prop bets of any game on the slate today. Starters not going deep or even seeing the sixth with Valdez career K averages is a perfect spot to get saucy.
With so much on the slate today, this is one of the few contests with a true hammer spot with Valdez under strikeout totals. Watch those live odds closely and take a flyer on the Astros cover if they start scoring within the first 3-inning.