Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers, 5:07 first pitch
Pitching Probable’s: Fried (ATL) vs. Woodruff (MIL)
The Brewers rode a strong start from Corbin Burnes and emaciate bullpen showing to a 2-1 win. Now with a 1-0 lead in the series Milwaukee has a chance to push Atlanta into elimination mode before heading to the Big A. The Braves offense sputtered early and left the tying and winning runs on base in the top of the ninth. As always feel free to comment on social at @SportsShiftMedia.
On the Bump
Max Fried will make his way to the mound this evening carrying a respectable 3.04 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over 28 starts and 165.2 IP. He has 12 career Postseason games under his belt with a 3.90 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. That WHIP is an indicator that the near-4 ERA is due in part to tough luck. Atlanta’s bats need to come alive to stay alive in this series after a very tough day at the dish.
Brandon Woodruff posted incredible numbers this season with a 2.56 ERA and sub-1 WHIP over 179.1 IP. He punched out 211 on the season and is a front runner for NL Cy Young. The Brewers offense did just enough in game 1 to get the win but will have just as tough a test in this second contest against Fried.
Fanduel: -122 Brewers, +104 Braves
The cover at 1.5 is about where it should be so doesn’t interest us. The -122 for the Brew Crew is not bad value considering Woodruff’s numbers and the Braves offensive struggles in Game 1.
Advice: Sprinkle something on the Brewers outright. If the game is close in the latter innings take whoever is down to cover. The pitching is wonderful in this series and neither offense is loaded enough to concern a late back door bust.
None of the player odds on the offensive said are of note. However, Woodruff (6.5) and Fried (5.5) each have over/under strikeout totals on the low end. We love both overs.
Advice: Both overs are in the +120 range and well worth a some green. The Braves in particular tend to swing and miss at extreme rates and Fried has a high enough ceiling of pure stuff that the over is very enticing as well.
The over/under total is 7, which is low. However again, neither offense is that powerful and the starters are wonderful.
Advice: We love the under. Outside of the Redsox going bananas last night few teams have even reached the six run mark, let alone seven. With that being said, the first half under is worth some interest as well sitting at 3.5.
The Brewers to win outright is a good bet, take it with some green. The must have in this game is the over for both starters over K-totals with a side interest in the under.